What 视野环球财经 said in this video:
- IWMneutralThe Russell 2000, burdened by small and mid-sized financial stocks, fell nearly 2% and is now 10% off its recent high, officially entering correction territory, which the host describes as very bad.Source
- Fed Policyneutralshort-termAlthough September CPI came in above expectations and the market-implied probability of an October hike rose slightly to 33%, it remains a low-probability event; the baseline judgment is still no hike in October, and money markets continue to price the next hike for December, unchanged.Source
- ASMLbullishlong-termASML's results showed strong demand and a raised full-year sales outlook, but the market reaction was not optimistic because the positive was already expected and valuation remains high. After breaking below 1683, the stock is stuck in a 1406-1884 consolidation with no short-term swing opportunity, but long-term investors can watch the 1406-1542 and 1300-1388 accumulation zones; if both break, the next longer-term entry is around 1000.Source
- AI Capexnegative for stocksmid-termDemand for AI data centers is strong, but securing funding and actually building the systems are separate challenges; banks are tightening data-center financing and borrowing costs are rising, while local opposition and slower approvals are causing widespread construction delays, creating real risks to AI financing sustainability.Source
- CRWVbearishmid-termAfter breaking below 74.4, CoreWeave has confirmed a downtrend with almost all holders trapped; its model relies heavily on financing, with borrowing costs near 9% against returns of only 1-5%, compounded by bank rejections, construction delays, and community opposition. Both fundamentals and technicals are very difficult, with sparse support below and rebounds likely to fail at resistance.Source
- ORCLneutralOracle's stock performed poorly today and faces the same AI data center financing logic as CoreWeave; however, Oracle has other software businesses generating positive income that can offset some pressure, making it relatively more stable. The previously given levels remain unchanged, so the host does not elaborate further.Source