What 美股Alpha姐 said in this video:
- SPYneutralThe SPY is weakening and trading in a descending channel with lower highs and lower lows, with no confirmed right-side reversal signal, so the host will not chase highs. However, she personally believes this is more likely a bull-flag pullback with high probability, and left-side opportunities exist at the box and 50% retracement levels.Source
- QQQbullishshort-termQQQ is performing much better than the broader market; it is also a bull flag and broke its downtrend line on Friday with a solid bullish candle, but the close has not yet exceeded the prior high and reached the 721.86–724.32 resistance zone. If it can close above 721.89 and then break 724.32 next week, it would confirm a formal breakout.Source
- DIAbearishThe Dow is clearly weak, as the market is playing a rate-hike narrative and potentially another hike this year, pressuring traditional sectors. The 51,600 area is a relatively large support box; if it closes below that, the index will likely fall back to around 50,400 near the annual line.Source
- OtherneutralThe entire market is being held up by QQQ and the AI chip narrative, not a broad rally driven by rate cuts or low rates.Source
- Fed PolicyneutralIf the rate-hike script lasts longer or continues next year to fight inflation, the host says to focus on big tech, especially AI-related chips and storage, rather than traditional sectors or small caps; liquidity is not ample, so small caps are unlikely to rally. She also personally believes this hiking cycle will not be sustainable, unlike the 2002 episode.Source
- IWMbearishThe Russell 2000 looks very weak: it gapped down and failed to stabilize, with heavy selling pressure on Thursday. After breaking the 287 support, that level has turned into resistance; the next major support is near the annual line or even 270. Therefore, unless oil or the Middle East situation is controlled, one should remain cautious on IWM.Source