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Signals Updates YouTubers History Scorecard

Signals Updates YouTubers History Scorecard

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@美股Alpha姐9 videosChinese channel

2026-11-071 video

2026-11-07

[US Stocks Alpha Sister] Nov 7, 2026 Weekly US Stock Market Review | Can We Buy the Dip Here After Thursday's Plunge | Where Is the Key Support Below, Is the Bounce Just a Dead Cat Bounce | How to Choose Oversold AI Tech Stocks?

[US Stocks Alpha Sister] Nov 7, 2026 Weekly US Stock Market Review | Can We Buy the Dip Here After Thursday's Plunge | Where Is the Key Support Below, Is the Bounce Just a Dead Cat Bounce | How to Choose Oversold AI Tech Stocks?

3 bull · 5 bear · 5 neutralYouTube

SPY QQQ NVDA TSLA GOOGL MSFT+4

SPYbearishmid-termSince Oct 16 the host views US equities as range-bound with a bearish tilt; every rally is a bounce to trim into, not a reversal.Source
Market Breadthneutralshort-termVIX peaking at 28 was a short-term panic release, not a full capitulation; 28-31 is the next threshold to watch.Source
SPYbullishshort-termVIX spiking to 28 signals a short-term panic release and the S&P hit its annual moving average, so a bounce to fill the 748.6-750.4 gap is likely; risk-reward favors a short-term long.Source

SPYbearishmid-termA measured move down from the broken box targets 719-720, and if the larger box since May is confirmed broken, the strongest support near 697-703 could come into play.Source
QQQbearishshort-termQQQ has fully broken below its annual line; Friday holding above Thursday's low only shows short-term selling exhaustion, so any bounce is limited short-covering.Source
NVDAbullishshort-termNVIDIA is oversold on the daily timeframe; a small starter long here is acceptable as a rebound candidate.Source
TSLAneutralshort-termTesla is somewhat oversold but not enough; the host prefers to wait before entering.Source
GOOGLbullishshort-termAlphabet is also oversold on a daily basis and qualifies as a rebound candidate.Source
MSFTbearishshort-termMicrosoft remains elevated relative to its own range, so it is not a preferred rebound candidate.Source
AAPLbearishshort-termApple, like Microsoft, still sits at an elevated level, so the host would not prioritize it for the rebound trade.Source
AMDneutralshort-termAMD is fully oversold but less steady than NVIDIA, so rebound trades require caution.Source
SOXXneutralshort-termThe host notes the Philadelphia semiconductor index can be used as a vehicle for playing the chip rebound.Source
INTCneutralshort-termIntel is deeply oversold, but catching it is a falling-knife trade requiring position discipline and no leverage.Source

Market Breadth

2026-11-011 video

2026-11-01

[US Stock Alpha Sister] Nov 1, 2026 US Stock Weekly Review | S&P hits support precisely, how long can this rebound last | Will the 748 critical defense line hold | Is there still room for a rebound in small-cap IWM?

[US Stock Alpha Sister] Nov 1, 2026 US Stock Weekly Review | S&P hits support precisely, how long can this rebound last | Will the 748 critical defense line hold | Is there still room for a rebound in small-cap IWM?

4 bull · 5 bear · 5 neutralYouTube

SPY QQQ DIA IWM TLT GOOGL+2

SPYbearishmid-termThe big bearish candle broke the bull-flag trend; mid-term the index is range-bound-to-bearish, and a break of 748 could send it toward 720, which she calls an excellent mid-to-long-term buy zone.Source
SPYbullishshort-termFriday's drop landed exactly on the pre-marked 750.4 heavy support with volume; unless it opens below 748.26, a daily-level bounce is likely, potentially filling the 766.7 gap.Source
AI Capexpositive for stockslong-termThe AI narrative is being challenged on Wall Street, pressuring it short-term, but the host personally believes it is fine long-term.Source

Fed Policynegative for stocksshort-termRate-hike uncertainty has weakened market liquidity, so the host's macro bias is to the weak side — the main reason any bounce may struggle to extend.Source
QQQneutralshort-termQQQ slammed straight to its yearly-line support on Friday, arriving at a key level simultaneously with the S&P, so a technical bounce is the base case for next week.Source
DIAneutralshort-termThe Dow has reached the previously flagged 51600 support — not a heavy one — so a bounce or consolidation is expected next week.Source
IWMbearishmid-termThe Russell 2000 is far weaker than other indices; it may bounce in two legs to the 287–288 box bottom, then fall in a second leg with the broader market, with 270–272 as major support.Source
Othernegative for stocksshort-termThe VIX is in an uptrend with rising lows and highs; if the S&P's key support breaks, its next stop could be 25 — a bearish signal for equities.Source
TLTbullishmid-termTLT is back at a minor prior resistance but its rally is probably not finished; bonds lead equities, and around 82.5 one should watch for the stock market coming under renewed pressure.Source
Cryptoneutralmid-termBitcoin has held up well but market liquidity is insufficient to push it higher; it likely returns to the 69,000–75,000 box, and a break below 75,000 could send it back to 67,000.Source
GOOGLbullishmid-termGoogle is approaching heavy support near 270 with a decent safety cushion; for those comfortable with left-side entries, a small starter position around 270 is reasonable.Source
MSFTbearishmid-termHigh-position mega-caps like Microsoft are currently propping up the index; if liquidity deteriorates into a crisis, they will all fall together, so special caution is warranted.Source
Otherneutralmid-termSemiconductors and other single stocks show no clear right-side entry signal and haven't fallen to extreme-panic levels yet, so there is no rush to build positions.Source
AAPLneutralshort-termThe host discloses she trimmed some Apple at highs last week, consistent with her caution on high-flying tech, but gives no further directional call.Source

AI CapexFed PolicyOtherCrypto

2026-10-251 video

2026-10-25

[US Stock Alpha Sister] 2026.10.25 US Stock Weekly Review | What does the counter-trend rise in US Treasuries mean | Has this sell-off bottomed out, will it rebound first or break through directly next week? | How to trade gold next?

[US Stock Alpha Sister] 2026.10.25 US Stock Weekly Review | What does the counter-trend rise in US Treasuries mean | Has this sell-off bottomed out, will it rebound first or break through directly next week? | How to trade gold next?

1 bull · 4 bear · 6 neutralYouTube

SPY QQQ IWM AAPL META SOXX

SPYbearishshort-termThe host views Friday's doji as short covering, a continuation pattern; repeated tests of 758.58 weaken it, and a break targets the 748.6–750.4 neckline.Source
SPYbearishmid-termIf the 748.6–750.4 neckline breaks, a measured move points to 719–720 on the S&P, below the annual line, roughly an 8% pullback from the high.Source
Inflationneutralshort-termBad news abounds — OpenAI's valuation cut, rate-hike expectations, uncontrolled inflation — but sentiment has not reached the capitulation needed for a bottom.Source

QQQbearishshort-termQQQ has genuinely broken below the 707–712.6 box and is weaker than SPY; after any bounce the next support is near the annual line around 683.Source
IWMneutralIWM and the Dow are mentioned only in passing as a lead-in to the TLT discussion, with no directional call.Source
Bonds & Ratesneutralmid-termTLT rose 7% against the market; with the 10-year yield back below 5% at 4.948, the host expects yields to oscillate around 5%, as Treasuries remain attractive to large asset managers.Source
Cryptopositive for stocksmid-termBitcoin held firm in the selloff, down only ~8% in consolidation; unless the S&P crashes over 20%, the 58,000 low is unlikely to break, and further dips are buying opportunities.Source
Othernegative for stocksshort-termThe host's gold position broke below her entry and a key platform; admitting the call was wrong, she plans to reduce on a rebound.Source
AAPLneutralshort-termApple keeps making new highs and props up the index; the host trimmed some near the highs fearing a broader selloff could drag it down — caution, not an outright bearish call.Source
METAneutralmid-termMETA remains in a wide range; treat it as a swing trade. The 590–600 lower edge is the buy zone for another purchase, after a successful prior buy near 540.Source
SOXXneutralshort-termSemiconductors are weak, but the host advises against deliberately shorting as a small short-term bounce is possible; just stay alert.Source

InflationBonds & RatesCryptoOther

2026-10-101 video

2026-10-10

【美股Alpha姐】2026.10.10 一周美股复盘｜SPY精准踩位，多头趋势还能延续吗？｜QQQ突破长期震荡，下周关键位在哪｜比特币破位，黄金出现左侧机会？

【美股Alpha姐】2026.10.10 一周美股复盘｜SPY精准踩位，多头趋势还能延续吗？｜QQQ突破长期震荡，下周关键位在哪｜比特币破位，黄金出现左侧机会？

15 bull · 0 bear · 4 neutralYouTube

SPY QQQ DIA IWM NVDA TSLA+10

SPYbullishlong-termThe S&P 500 uptrend remains intact; price action shows a healthy structure with no sustained bearish catalyst. If it closes above 779.42 and 781.59, the year-end target is 791-792.Source
QQQbullishshort-termQQQ broke out of a five-month consolidation range; next week watch whether 746.94 holds, and if it does, the ETF can continue to new highs.Source
DIAbullishshort-termThe Dow shows signs of stabilizing and possibly rebounding; the host disclosed she built a small position on Friday, but stressed it is a rebound rather than a reversal.Source

IWMbullishshort-termThe Russell 2000 has strong support near its year line, and the host disclosed adding a small position there; however, because rates are still rising and pressuring small caps, this is treated as a rebound, not a reversal.Source
Bonds & Ratespositive for stocksshort-termThe 10-year Treasury yield remains in a very strong upward channel and the trend has not changed; however, in the short-to-mid term it faces major resistance at 5.328 and may pull back to 5.1, 5.0, or even 5.032, a former resistance now turned support.Source
NVDAbullishmid-termAlthough NVIDIA is trading choppy, its uptrend remains intact; a short-term pullback to the 20- or 50-day EMA is possible, and the 223-225 zone is a decent short-to-mid-term buy point.Source
TSLAbullishshort-termTesla broke above the important 364-382 box on Friday, with the close confirming the breakout; the next step is an advance toward the 400-410 box.Source
MSFTbullishmid-termMicrosoft has made a recent new high and broke the 535 resistance; the next level to watch is the double top around 550 formed last July and October.Source
GOOGLneutralAlphabet is still trading sideways with no significant change; there is no clear direction.Source
METAneutralMeta is pulling back to test its 20-day moving average; if the 20-day MA fails to hold, it may retest the 678-696 box.Source
AAPLneutralApple is performing decently but lacks short-term momentum to break out; it needs more momentum to push through.Source
AMDbullishmid-termAMD remains in a very strong trend and has not even filled its gap; watch whether the 20-day MA at 597.32 holds, and if not, look to the prior-high support near 587, with some consolidation still possible.Source
AMZNbullishmid-termAmazon broke its downtrend line and formed a double bottom, with its daily structure improving; the next level to watch is the upside resistance at 274.86.Source
JPMbullishshort-termJPMorgan shares the same rationale as the Dow: the 10-year yield is at major resistance. The host also added a small position near the year line, and from either the year line or the 324-326 support box, the long risk/reward is attractive.Source
TSMbullishshort-termTSMC remains very strong but faces short-term pressure; watch whether the 20-day MA holds, and if not, look to 444.28 and the heavy support box at 446.43-452.01.Source
INTCbullishFor those willing to catch a falling knife, Intel has reached a heavy support; 104.24-106.86 is a former support/resistance flip platform where left-side traders could go long, but the right-side signal has not appeared and it depends on one's conviction in Intel.Source
SOXXbullishmid-termAfter exiting its downtrend channel, the semiconductor index is still choppy but the trend is intact and is grinding higher; for a safer entry, one could wait to add near the 100-day EMA.Source
Cryptoneutralshort-termBitcoin broke below the 82,562 low of its prior high-level range and had not fully recovered by Friday; if it cannot reclaim the 82,500-82,562 zone over the weekend, it may fall back to around 78,000, but if it does reclaim it, the damage is limited.Source
Otherpositive for stocksGold has reached a left-side buy point, but the right-side signal has not yet appeared.Source

Bonds & RatesCryptoOther

2026-10-041 video

2026-10-04

[US Stocks Alpha Sister] 2026.10.4 US Stock Market Review | Treasury Surge Intensifies US Stock Volatility! Choppy Market Repeatedly Washes Positions, How to Defend and Build Positions at Key Levels? | How to Deploy Sectors in a Choppy Market? When Will Treasury Yields Peak? Comprehensive Analysis of Hot Stock Trends!

[US Stocks Alpha Sister] 2026.10.4 US Stock Market Review | Treasury Surge Intensifies US Stock Volatility! Choppy Market Repeatedly Washes Positions, How to Defend and Build Positions at Key Levels? | How to Deploy Sectors in a Choppy Market? When Will Treasury Yields Peak? Comprehensive Analysis of Hot Stock Trends!

12 bull · 1 bear · 4 neutralYouTube

SPY DIA QQQ IWM JPM NVDA+7

AI Capexpositive for stockslong-termThe host is firmly bullish on the AI wave over the long term, viewing it as the most important new quality productive force this generation will experience, even bigger than the internet revolution. The earnings growth and market gains driven by AI are the biggest opportunity ordinary people can capture by participating in US stocks; long-term investors should embrace tech stocks and not over-worry about when a bubble might form.Source
SPYbullishshort-termSPY found support at the 758.58–760.4 zone, which combines a prior breakout retest, the 50% retracement of the current advance, and a bull-flag retest. Thursday’s low of 758.79 was bought just above this area and the trend is not broken, so the host maintains the view that this is a bull flag / upward continuation. The zone remains a short-term buy point, with 773.9 as the key resistance that needs to be cleared.Source
DIAneutralDJI has still not shown a clear reversal signal. The area around the annual line at 50100 and the 50200–50430 zone is key support that must hold, otherwise a breakdown like in March is possible. Until a reversal signal appears, DJI could drag the broader market lower or keep it range-bound, with range-bound action viewed as more likely; only after a reversal can US equities be considered fully safe.Source

QQQbullishmid-termQQQ outperformed SPY this week by breaking out to a new high, and its pullback was also stronger than SPY’s. Even though SPY has not cleared 773.9 resistance, QQQ may continue to strengthen, although the Friday doji shows buyers are reluctant to chase and overhead pressure remains.Source
IWMbearishshort-termIWM has been very weak. Although it is near annual-line support, the host believes it may not hold; even if it does, the move is more likely a bounce than a reversal. If the annual line fails, the next major support is at 270–271.9. Until the rate-hike cycle shows signs of stopping, investors should avoid these cyclical stocks.Source
Fed Policypositive for stocksshort-termThe host believes the most important short-term macro theme is Fed rate hikes, with inflation still not coming under control. The hiking cycle has not shown any signs of stopping. Against this tight macro policy backdrop, investors should avoid cyclical stocks and stick with tech.Source
Bonds & Ratespositive for stockslong-termThe 10-year Treasury yield has officially broken above 5%. The host views this as a true breakout, not a fake one; on the monthly chart it has broken a 30-plus-year descending channel, signaling a secular trend change. There is large upside room after the breakout, with 5.17–5.297 as minor resistance and 6.5 as the next major resistance. A pullback to the 20-day moving average around 5.068, or even 5.034, would be post-breakout support. High risk-free rates will suppress equity valuations and liquidity, so investors should embrace tech stocks over the long term.Source
JPMbullishshort-termBank stocks represented by JPMorgan (JPM) have fallen deeply; if the annual line fails, the next downside level is around 298. However, the host expects a short-term bottom near the annual line and believes it should hold in the short term, though technically it is more a rebound than a reversal and needs close attention.Source
NVDAbullishshort-termNVIDIA broke to an intraday record high this week, but buying was weak and it reversed to form a small gap at 233.14–233.65. The host expects the gap to be filled next week and the stock to possibly pull back to the 20-day moving average around 228, which he views as a safer short-to-mid-term buy point. Buying right at the gap is only suitable for very short-term traders.Source
AMDbullishmid-termAMD is even stronger, leaving about a 23-point gap-up that will be hard to fill in the short term. The 20-day moving average around 585.32 is also a prior breakout retest and forms major support. Deploying mid-to-short-term there to capture a bounce offers a good risk/reward, and even if it breaks lower, the price tends to return to this level for a breakeven exit.Source
TSLAbullishlong-termTesla remains below the major 382 resistance level identified long ago. It has broken above intraday several times but closed back down, showing funds are still trading the range rather than a main uptrend. Only a true breakout above 382 would open the path to 400. For very long-term holders, the host views it as the Magnificent 7 name with the largest potential and imagination space.Source
GOOGLneutralAlphabet (Google) is still moving sideways with no clear direction.Source
MSFTbullishmid-termMicrosoft is relatively strong. If 510 holds, the next resistance zone to challenge is 534.83–537.5, initially around 537. The pattern is a choppy but slightly stronger setup.Source
METAbullishshort-termMETA has rallied strongly into the upper edge of a sell zone, and current price action is not healthy. The host admits missing the move; for those who want to buy, he suggests waiting for a pullback to around 696 and re-entering in that box rather than chasing here.Source
AAPLneutralApple is still waiting to break out near its highs; the overall action is fine, but no clear direction has been given yet.Source
AMZNneutralAmazon is trading in a choppy manner, and the host thinks funds are not paying much attention to it recently, so there is no clear direction.Source
Cryptopositive for stocksmid-termBitcoin entered a 87400–82500 box after a rally, with the gap high at 82300 unfilled; if weak, it could drop to the 78000–80000 box. Despite the sharp rise in 10-year Treasury yields, BTC has been resilient and broke a bowl handle near 80000, suggesting the washout is largely done. If the 10-year yield pulls back to around 5%, BTC has another leg higher; those with a light position can continue to hold and wait.Source

AI CapexFed PolicyBonds & RatesCrypto

2026-09-201 video

2026-09-20

[Alpha Sister US Stocks] 2026.9.19 Weekly US Stock Market Review | US Stock Divergence Intensifies, Will the Broad Market Continue to Fall? | QQQ Breaks Out First, Can It Drive SPY Reversal | Is the Second Wave of Bitcoin Upside Coming?

[Alpha Sister US Stocks] 2026.9.19 Weekly US Stock Market Review | US Stock Divergence Intensifies, Will the Broad Market Continue to Fall? | QQQ Breaks Out First, Can It Drive SPY Reversal | Is the Second Wave of Bitcoin Upside Coming?

4 bull · 2 bear · 9 neutralYouTube

SPY QQQ DIA IWM NVDA TSLA+3

SPYneutralThe SPY is weakening and trading in a descending channel with lower highs and lower lows, with no confirmed right-side reversal signal, so the host will not chase highs. However, she personally believes this is more likely a bull-flag pullback with high probability, and left-side opportunities exist at the box and 50% retracement levels.Source
QQQbullishshort-termQQQ is performing much better than the broader market; it is also a bull flag and broke its downtrend line on Friday with a solid bullish candle, but the close has not yet exceeded the prior high and reached the 721.86–724.32 resistance zone. If it can close above 721.89 and then break 724.32 next week, it would confirm a formal breakout.Source
DIAbearishThe Dow is clearly weak, as the market is playing a rate-hike narrative and potentially another hike this year, pressuring traditional sectors. The 51,600 area is a relatively large support box; if it closes below that, the index will likely fall back to around 50,400 near the annual line.Source

OtherneutralThe entire market is being held up by QQQ and the AI chip narrative, not a broad rally driven by rate cuts or low rates.Source
Fed PolicyneutralIf the rate-hike script lasts longer or continues next year to fight inflation, the host says to focus on big tech, especially AI-related chips and storage, rather than traditional sectors or small caps; liquidity is not ample, so small caps are unlikely to rally. She also personally believes this hiking cycle will not be sustainable, unlike the 2002 episode.Source
IWMbearishThe Russell 2000 looks very weak: it gapped down and failed to stabilize, with heavy selling pressure on Thursday. After breaking the 287 support, that level has turned into resistance; the next major support is near the annual line or even 270. Therefore, unless oil or the Middle East situation is controlled, one should remain cautious on IWM.Source
GeopoliticsneutralThe Middle East situation is a risk factor to watch; unless the situation is brought under control, oil prices and small caps still warrant caution.Source
Market BreadthneutralThe US market is becoming increasingly divergent: traditional sectors and small caps are weak, while the QQQ tech sector is performing quite well, with the market relying on AI chip-related names.Source
NVDAbullishshort-termNVIDIA is again trying to break out to new highs. The host expects it to at least test the 230 resistance level if AI-related sectors continue to lead; two previous breakout attempts failed, but consolidating near resistance is healthy, and a breakout event could push it through the prior high.Source
TSLAneutralshort-termTesla has been weaker than before and has failed to break the 364–382 resistance zone for two weeks; if it cannot break out next week, it may pull back to 340 or even the 314–322 box.Source
GOOGLbullishGoogle has been moving sideways, but every time it approaches the annual line it gets bought up, confirming that area as a good entry point, so a left-side entry is justified.Source
MSFTneutralMicrosoft has attempted to break out of the 500–510 box five times but failed. Its trend is still intact, but the resistance is significant; consolidation is reasonable, and it lacks momentum, needing a catalyst such as an AI company IPO to boost AI concept stocks.Source
METAneutralThe host went long META near 540 and sold all around 590. She is not particularly bullish on META long term; the stock is now making its fourth attempt to break the 678–696 resistance box and was rejected with a large red candle on Friday, showing the resistance is precise.Source
Cryptopositive for stocksBitcoin is showing a signal of preparing to break out. The host thinks the current rally is strong enough to likely have a second leg. She added back her 81,000 position near 76,500 and is still holding, waiting for further upside. If it breaks the 83,000–85,400 resistance, it can target 98,000–100,000, implying a target near 99,000; the macro hiking cycle is the main risk.Source
Oil & EnergyneutralOil prices are a key focus; oil and the stock index are strongly negatively correlated. If oil or the Middle East situation is not brought under control, the market, especially small caps, still needs caution.Source

OtherFed PolicyGeopoliticsMarket BreadthCryptoOil & Energy

2026-09-121 video

2026-09-12

[US Stock Alpha Sister] 2026.9.12 Weekly US Stock Review | CPI Didn't Fall on Bad News, Is It a Reversal Signal? | Next Week FOMC + Triple Witching, Will the Market Break Out Upward? | Should Tech Stocks Be Trimmed on Rallies or Held?

[US Stock Alpha Sister] 2026.9.12 Weekly US Stock Review | CPI Didn't Fall on Bad News, Is It a Reversal Signal? | Next Week FOMC + Triple Witching, Will the Market Break Out Upward? | Should Tech Stocks Be Trimmed on Rallies or Held?

1 bull · 1 bear · 10 neutralYouTube

SPY NVDA TSLA GOOGL MSFT META+4

SPYneutralshort-termSPY fell for four straight days to the lower edge of its descending channel, and the downtrend line still has not been broken to the upside. Although Friday saw a rebound despite bad CPI, it failed to reclaim the 20-day moving average, so the short-term direction remains unresolved.Source
NVDAneutralshort-termNVDA is still range-bound between 200 and 236 and has not broken out. Resistance sits at 232-236 near the prior high, the 223-225 support has broken and flipped to resistance, while supports are at 211-217 and around 200, where I would add given the annual-line support.Source
TSLAneutralshort-termTesla performed okay this week with moving averages flattening and acting as support, but the 364-382 resistance remains unbroken. If it breaks 382, the upside target is 400; currently the direction is unresolved pending the broader market and Fed meeting.Source

GOOGLneutralshort-termGoogle is weak and has returned to the annual-line support for the third time, but there is no strong buying momentum, so this rebound is unlikely to exceed the 348-355 zone. Until it breaks above 350, it can be set aside.Source
MSFTneutralshort-termMicrosoft is doing relatively well; it touched the 20-day moving average and was pulled up, still attempting to break the 510 box. It is among the better-performing Mag-7 names, but whether it can break 510 next week remains to be seen, so direction is unconfirmed.Source
METAneutralshort-termI completely missed this Meta wave and had sold all my position near 590. If still holding, around 680 is a level to reduce, as it is already somewhat oversold short-term, while the 678-696 zone above is a major resistance; direction is unclear before a breakout.Source
AAPLbearishshort-termApple has performed well and rose against the trend on Friday, but like others it struggles near the prior high. Friday's close failed to hold above 334, so it may pull back to retest the 319 support, implying near-term downside.Source
AMZNneutralshort-termAfter breaking below the first buy point at 258-260, Amazon retested 248-251 and is now bouncing within these boxes. Even with a strong gap-up momentum, it failed to break this year's high, as capital rotates between sectors, leaving no independent direction.Source
QQQneutralshort-termQQQ remains in a high-level consolidation and needs to break its converging triangle after the Fed meeting. Because it is hard for it to break to new highs, the short-term direction is unclear.Source
Market Breadthneutralshort-termCapital is rotating among different sectors, and until the broader market can move out effectively, tech-sector names are unlikely to stage independent rallies; at best they may briefly make or approach new highs before being sold back down.Source
AVGOneutralBroadcom offered a left-side long opportunity near the annual line, and I went long a small position there. However, price chopped without breaking higher, so I closed roughly flat and am waiting for further signals; without a clear long signal, I have stepped aside.Source
Cryptopositive for stocksmid-termBitcoin had a clear daily-level breakout but has been unable to break the key 80700 level. After reducing near 81000 and adding back at 86500, I still hold my second entry. Given that consolidation lasting weeks to months can be followed by a sudden rally, I think the probability of a second leg is greater than 50%, so I will keep holding until my stop is hit.Source

Market BreadthCrypto

2026-09-051 video

2026-09-05

[US Stock Alpha Sister] 2026.9.5 Weekly US Stock Review | US Stocks Continue Box Consolidation, Can the Bull Flag Pattern Break Out Upward? | Will CPI Trigger a September Rate Hike? | Should Tech Stocks Be Traded in Ranges or Held?

[US Stock Alpha Sister] 2026.9.5 Weekly US Stock Review | US Stocks Continue Box Consolidation, Can the Bull Flag Pattern Break Out Upward? | Will CPI Trigger a September Rate Hike? | Should Tech Stocks Be Traded in Ranges or Held?

10 bull · 1 bear · 7 neutralYouTube

SPY QQQ DIA IWM NVDA TSLA+7

SPYbullishshort-termSPY is oscillating in the 759–779 range; I view this as a bull flag following a clear volume breakout, so the higher probability is a continued move upward. Until the Fed meeting, expect range-bound action; one can sell high/buy low or enter on the right side after a breakout.Source
Inflationneutralshort-termNext week's CPI and core CPI are important data; the August CPI will be very critical and will affect the Fed meeting's decision on whether to hike in September, but I am not making a directional forecast on inflation and only flag it as something to watch.Source
Bonds & Ratesneutralshort-termI think next week's 10-year Treasury auction is more important than the 30-year auction, as the market is focused on long-end yields; these auctions will determine the short-term rate trend.Source

QQQbullishshort-termQQQ is ranging in a 705–721 box; it is a post-breakout retest that is holding so far but lacks short-term momentum. Purely from a technical view, the probability of an upside breakout is higher, but we need to wait for the Fed meeting to confirm the rate path; tech stocks are heavily influenced by rates, so the June high is not yet broken.Source
DIAneutralThe Dow (DIA) is range-bound and briefly broke below the August 20 low; although it recovered the next day, it made a lower low and failed to make a new high, which is not a good signal. The direction will have to wait for the Fed meeting.Source
IWMneutralshort-termIWM is still oscillating in a large box, with first support at 287 and resistance near 302; I expect this price action to continue for another one to two weeks.Source
Bonds & RatesneutralThe 10-year Treasury yield has broken above the key 4.74 resistance and confirmed; resistance remains at 4.8 and 5.0. Although each breakout of a key level may trigger short-term stock market pressure, since the yield rise is gradual and the Fed is not suddenly hiking, the market has gradually digested high rates, so the long-term impact should not be large.Source
NVDAbullishshort-termNVDA tried to break the 232–236 historical high on Friday but failed and closed with a long upper shadow; this is not a short signal but bulls taking short-term profits. I think a pullback to 223–225 or even the 20-day moving average is a good buy point. A double bottom has formed, and as long as the broader market does not deteriorate, NVDA should be able to break the prior high.Source
TSLAbullishmid-termTesla (TSLA) rallied Thursday but was sold off Friday; the action is choppy, but I think there is no major problem and the trend remains up. The short-term move from the low to the high was about 27%, so some longs taking partial profits is normal. I previously took profit near 364 and re-entered at 350; I am still holding and will not reduce the position even if it pulls back to the 20-day moving average.Source
MSFTbullishshort-termMicrosoft (MSFT) is relatively strong; it tried to break the 510 resistance but was rejected on Friday, though the trend is still very good and it is just extended from the moving averages. I had wanted to wait for the gap to be filled, with an ideal buy at 473–474, but now it seems unlikely, so I may buy back some near 490.Source
METAbullishshort-termMeta (META) has performed very well. I already took full profit near 590, capturing about 10 points. If still holding, after breaking the annual line the next take-profit zone is 632–641; if stronger, it can reach above 678, and I would clear the position near 690. However, RSI is approaching overbought and the short-term gain is large, so caution is needed.Source
AAPLbullishshort-termApple (AAPL) has a small negative recently as foldable phone capacity cannot keep up; it pulled back to the 316–319 box, but I think there is no major problem. The trend is still very good, and this is a breakout retest support level, so re-entering long is acceptable and it is a good buy point.Source
AMZNneutralAmazon (AMZN) still holds the position established at 258; the price is still oscillating, so I will wait and see, and I think there is no major problem.Source
OtherneutralThe host advises maintaining good risk hedging by buying stocks with different characteristics and different rationales, so that when one falls, the other can serve as a hedge.Source
AVGObearishBroadcom (AVGO) is performing poorly and has broken below the annual line. I built a position near the annual line earlier and am preparing to sell it; I will wait for it to reclaim the annual line before re-entering.Source
ORCLbullishshort-termOracle (ORCL) is advancing in a staggered manner, but the trend has gradually turned up and the moving averages provide support. If it can hold near 153, we can continue to look higher, first to 169 and then to 174.Source
TSMbullishshort-termTSMC (TSM) shows signs of a breakout and I will watch it closely; it trades similar to the semiconductor index and is currently ranging, but as long as it does not fall back into the descending channel, I think the probability of an upside breakout after the range is higher. Recently semiconductors found support near the half-year line, and because long-end Treasury yields are pressuring stocks, funds rotated into hardware names with higher certainty for safety. I am personally bullish.Source
Cryptopositive for stocksmid-termBitcoin has performed well in the past two weeks but is capped by the small resistance zone of 78,000–80,600. I expect a high probability of a second leg higher, so I previously sold half my position near 81,000 as a swing trade and re-entered at 76,500; I still hold bitcoin waiting for a breakout above 81,000. If 81,000 breaks, the 83,000 resistance should not be a big problem and we could look back to around 98,000, but this depends on how US stocks move.Source

InflationBonds & RatesOtherCrypto

2026-08-291 video

2026-08-29

[US Stock Alpha Sister] 2026.08.29 Weekly US Stock Review | Friday Surge and Fall with Long Upper Shadow, How Long Will the Volatility Last? | September Rate Hike Risk Approaches, Where Is the Key Market Support? | Tech Stock Rotation, How to View Bitcoin and Gold?

[US Stock Alpha Sister] 2026.08.29 Weekly US Stock Review | Friday Surge and Fall with Long Upper Shadow, How Long Will the Volatility Last? | September Rate Hike Risk Approaches, Where Is the Key Market Support? | Tech Stock Rotation, How to View Bitcoin and Gold?

9 bull · 4 bear · 6 neutralYouTube

SPY QQQ DIA IWM TLT NVDA+7

SPYbullishshort-termThe S&P 500 remains in a consolidation range with an important upside target at 791-792; if the 20-day MA holds and there is no rate hike in September, the market is likely to move higher, with the host seeing a relatively high probability of further upside.Source
Fed Policypositive for stocksshort-termThe market has pushed the September rate-hike odds from 30% to 65%, but the host thinks this pricing is somewhat overdone; if there is no hike in September, the market will rally from the range, with a relatively high probability of further upside.Source
QQQbullishshort-termThe Nasdaq 100 ETF retested key support at 707-712.6; if it holds, it can grind higher for one to two weeks, while overhead resistance sits at 712.8-724.3, which previously rejected price.Source

DIAneutralshort-termThe Dow ETF is hovering in a narrow range near 53200 and is expected to stay range-bound; the rising-channel lower line at 53100 must hold, and if it does, price can still attack the 55600 upper line.Source
IWMbearishThe Russell 2000 ETF has clearly broken down with further downward momentum; overhead pressure is stronger than support below, and it has entered a wide consolidation, with the 50-day MA needing to hold.Source
Otherneutralshort-termThe VIX is still at a relatively low level, so options are cheap; if investors hold many long stock positions and fear a black-swan event at the Fed meeting, they can take a small position in short-term put options or put spreads to hedge, benefiting if volatility expands before the meeting.Source
TLTbearishThe long-term Treasury ETF TLT briefly broke below a key support formed from the October 2023 low; although pulled back, it hovers around the critical 82.5 area, which is a risk signal the host has repeatedly emphasized in past weeks.Source
Bonds & Ratesnegative for stocksshort-termThe 10-year Treasury yield has been building momentum near the lower edge of the 4.7-5 box for two to three weeks; the host worries that any unexpected event could easily trigger an upward breakout, which would weigh on bond prices.Source
Inflationneutralshort-termThe rate-hike outlook mainly depends on inflation data over the next two weeks, so inflation figures need close attention, though the host did not state a specific direction for inflation itself.Source
NVDAneutralshort-termNVIDIA remains within a large consolidation range after earnings; the host uses a three-equal-part division for daily swing trades—taking profit or shorting above 219 and going long below 204.Source
TSLAbullishshort-termThe host previously took profit on half of the Tesla position near 364 and then bought it back around 350; with this week's low at 342, a small swing trade was completed. The disclosed buyback indicates he still holds and participates in Tesla's swing opportunities in a range-bound market.Source
GOOGLneutralAlphabet remains stuck at its old position, unable to break above the 348-350 area and capped by the 20-, 50-, and 100-day moving averages; with no direction or catalyst, it is best to wait for a directional choice.Source
MSFTbullishMicrosoft is stronger than expected; the host reduced in the 500-510 box and planned to add back at 473, but the low only reached 476 so the add was not filled. He will still look for an opportunity to buy back, having trimmed because of the sharp short-term rally.Source
METAneutralAfter adding to META at 540, the host reduced the first batch at 576 and cleared the rest at the 597 pre-market high; long term he remains doubtful on META, but the short-term trade reached support with a good risk/reward, locking in nearly 8-9 points in a few days.Source
AAPLbullishlong-termApple was added around 301, with the position built near 300 targeting a return to 329, and price is now approaching that target; the disclosed add shows a bullish, long-held position in Apple.Source
AMZNbullishshort-termAmazon was flagged for a first buy at 258-260, and after rising about 3.2% against the trend on Friday it is already in profit; the host set his take-profit at 270-275 and will exit at 270, with Friday's high reaching 267.Source
AVGObullishBroadcom was entered near the annual line at 360-365 with a starter position, and as long as it holds above the annual line the host will leave it alone; the disclosed position shows a bullish hold in Broadcom.Source
Cryptonegative for stocksshort-termBitcoin was planned to be reduced at 80000-81000 and added back near 75000, but this week's high failed to break 71400; the host thinks it is hard to move up short term and will likely pull back to moving averages, with staged buy orders set at 73000-76000.Source
Otherpositive for stocksGold pulled back to its moving average due to Bessent's rate-hike signals and inflation worries, plus a prior steep rally; the host believes it would pull back even without the rate news, and the current area is nearly an entry point, with the overall trend still very good for buying on dips.Source

Fed PolicyOtherBonds & RatesInflationCrypto

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