What 视野环球财经 said in this video:
- XLUneutralshort-termThe rise in utilities is mainly a short squeeze, not an improvement in fundamentals. The host warns that those who positioned earlier should watch for a top formation and take profits, with 42.4 to 46.8 as a strong resistance zone.Source
- Otherneutralshort-termThe host reminds that October is itself a volatile month and there is a midterm election on November 3, so market volatility will increase again after earnings begin.Source
- MUneutralmid-termMicron's earnings beat and gross margin was very high, but the stock stayed stable without a sustained surge because buy-side expectations were even higher and gains were already priced in. The debate has shifted from how high earnings can go to how long the momentum lasts, as current semiconductor gross margins are abnormally high and cannot persist forever.Source
- AI Capexneutralmid-termAI-related companies are expected to contribute about three-quarters of S&P earnings growth this quarter, an absolute dominance. However, many semiconductor companies now have gross margins above 70%, far above the normal 55%, and such abnormally high margins cannot be sustained forever.Source
- Earningsneutralmid-termThe Q3 earnings season looks bright on the surface with S&P EPS expected to grow 27%, but internally it is an oligopoly where AI infrastructure contributes most growth. Median companies' EPS growth is only 9% and has been cut, making them the key driver for how high the S&P can go. If these middle companies beat significantly, they could catch up and push the index, while leading semiconductors maintain a slow high-level trend.Source
- MRVLneutralshort-termMRVL raised its revenue guidance, with FY2028 revenue guidance up about 30% and profit up 20%, implying a valuation increase of about 40 to 50 dollars and a Jan 2028 forward price range of 280 to 300. Technically, 318 is a super-strong resistance; if broken, there is no resistance above and the trend continues, but if not, watch for a top formation near 301, and above 300 is already overvalued for a year.Source