What 视野环球财经 said in this video:
- Market Breadthnegative for stocksThe S&P 500's correlations with the equal-weight index, crude oil, rates, and its own sectors have collapsed to record lows, leaving market breadth very poor. Funds are crowding only into AI and semiconductor names with the strongest earnings, hedge fund net leverage is near five-year lows with only modest tech longs added, and other sectors are performing badly.Source
- NVDAbullishlong-termNVIDIA closed at a record high today, with technical support at 219-232. Forward valuation is not expensive even at 20-30x with growth halved; next fiscal year valuation range is 251-377 with a midpoint of 314, leaving 20-30% upside, so continue holding.Source
- MSFTbullishlong-termMicrosoft closed at a recent high of 525 today with a high of 532; after breaking 534, overhead resistance is minimal. The medium-to-long view is above 600, justified by forward valuation of 614 for the current fiscal year ending June 2027 and a median of 632 for the following fiscal year. Although not a high-beta name, slowly holding for another roughly 20% upside is reasonable.Source
- TSMbullishlong-termTSMC hit an all-time high today with three consecutive sessions of step-up volume, a very strong move that can be held. Forward valuation for 2027 is 321-593 with a median of 457, already exceeded, and an upper bound of 593. The current price is stretched but the cycle is not over. Those already on board should hold; those not positioned should wait for pullbacks (e.g., to 400) to add.Source
- Otherpositive for stocksSpaceX rose for two straight sessions with higher volume, breaking its previous platform and reaching the 150-170 area, showing strong technical momentum and revived speculative interest. However, because it listed less than a year ago and its ranges are untested, no clear support or resistance can be given.Source
- TSLAbullishshort-termTesla is still moving higher, reaching about 380 today. As it approaches the 415 area, watch for selling pressure; before it gets there, just hold.Source