What 老李玩钱 said in this video:
- Fed Policynegative for stocksmid-termHot PCE inflation plus a strong GDP print give the Fed more room to keep hiking, which pressures equities.Source
- QQQbearishshort-termAmazon and Intel blowups will weigh on tech tomorrow; a drop over 1% breaks the 26000 support, with 25000 at the 200-day line as the next level.Source
- DIAneutralshort-termThe Dow, dominated by traditional value names, has held up recently and is falling far less than the tech-heavy Nasdaq.Source
- SPYneutralshort-termThe S&P's mix of value and tech makes it relatively resilient; he expects it to hold 7610 tomorrow and not break down within October.Source
- Othernegative for stocksshort-termOctober sits after the Fed's hike cycle began and just before midterm elections; historically this window is volatile with high correction odds.Source
- Otherpositive for stockslong-termUS stocks have historically risen in the 12 months after midterm elections, and bear markets are always eventually recovered; he repeatedly urges a long horizon and staying invested.Source
- Otherpositive for stockslong-termHe argues every portfolio needs defensive stocks: unremarkable in bull markets but protective in drawdowns, and his own account always holds them.Source
- COSTbullishlong-termCostco is a core defensive holding in his account, rising against the recent market turmoil — proof of the value of defensive allocation; he discloses holding it.Source