What 老李玩钱 said in this video:
- Fed Policyneutralmid-termThe Fed's updated rate path and dot plot show policy will remain restrictive for longer, with most officials expecting at least one more 25bp hike by year end; combined with Walsh's hawkish remarks, investors need to be more cautious.Source
- Inflationneutralmid-termFed Chair Walsh reiterated the central bank's firm commitment to bringing inflation down to its 2% personal consumption expenditures target, will not accept a higher inflation threshold, and is prepared to tighten further if inflation stays high.Source
- SPYneutralmid-termHistorically, in the three months after the first hike following a rate-cut cycle, the S&P 500 posted negative returns in five of six cases, so investors need to stay cautious in the coming months until year end.Source
- Otherneutralshort-termThis Friday's triple witching day was mentioned as one of the potential risk factors from the previous video, and investors should be aware of its potential impact on US stocks.Source
- Market Breadthnegative for stocksmid-termHistorically, US stocks have a relatively high chance of a pullback before midterm elections, so investors should review their portfolios, manage positions and risk, and keep enough cash reserves to cope with potential pullback risk.Source
- COSTbullishlong-termI added one share of Costco at 897.37 as planned, now holding 13 shares with a target position of 15, and plan to add more below 882, gradually building the position by buying on dips.Source
- AVGObullishlong-termI added 5 shares of Broadcom at 339.37 as planned, now holding 10 shares with a target position of 50; I plan to add further below 328, following a left-side trading approach by buying on dips, building the position in batches, and holding long term.Source