What 视野环球财经 said in this video:
- Market BreadthneutralBased on the S&P equal-weight index rising and broad component/sector gains, the market does not look like it is about to collapse; normal pullbacks should not be mistaken for a crisis.Source
- TSMbullishlong-termTSMC's forward valuation has not changed much and most earnings items beat; the host's add plan is unchanged and he will only add below 375, treating dips as long-term buying opportunities.Source
- TLTbearishlong-termThe sharp rally in long bonds is mainly due to CTA short covering, not fundamentals; bonds lack a basis for a long-term rise, so take short-term profits and do not treat covering as a long-term run.Source
- EmploymentneutralInitial jobless claims rose slightly to 199k, below expectations, and continuing claims also fell; overall jobless conditions look very stable with no large increase.Source
- Inflationpositive for stocksmid-termSeptember PPI rose far more than expected; producer-side inflation is not contained and remains high, and part of it will later pass through to PCE, meaning inflation pressure is still significant.Source
- Consumernegative for stocksmid-termAlthough September retail sales grew MoM, ex-gasoline and auto sales were clearly weak and the control group far missed expectations, meaning overall consumption is soft and the next holiday sales season will likely be worse than in the past.Source
- AI Capexpositive for stockslong-termHedge funds have shifted from frenzied bets on rapid AI growth to a pragmatic neutral allocation; longer term they still allocate and remain optimistic about AI's steady development, and although speculative positions have been cleared, the theme remains an important asset allocation.Source