What Nick Stock Cafe said in this video:
- Valuationneutrallong-termAmong great mega-caps, cheaper valuation is better — buying the cheapest giant historically led to outsized outperformance — but valuation only works with company context.Source
- NVDAbearishshort-termIf Jensen Huang actually steps down as CEO, it would be a huge blow to NVIDIA shareholders; the stock already fell 8% in overnight trading on the news.Source
- AAPLbearishmid-termApple sits at 10-year valuation highs while growth decelerates toward single digits — a near-40x P/E doesn't match, and he won't touch it for now.Source
- GOOGLbullishmid-termGoogle's 15x P/E is distorted by investment gains, but at ~19x price-to-cash-flow with 25% accelerating revenue growth it is fairly priced to slightly cheap.Source
- METAbullishmid-termHe discloses holding Meta; even with deceleration, 25% growth justifies a 21x P/E — fair to slightly undervalued, and 12x price-to-cash-flow is very cheap.Source
- MSFTbullishmid-termHe discloses having built a position in Microsoft on the recent selloff; its growth rivals Google's yet valuation sits mid-to-low versus 10-year history, and still isn't expensive.Source
- TSMbullishmid-termTSMC trades above its historical valuation range, but with revenue accelerating to 50% and set to go faster next quarter, ~20x earnings is fully justified — not expensive in context.Source
- NVDAbullishmid-termNVIDIA trades at decade-low valuation with accelerating triple-digit revenue growth, the fastest of the group — very cheap if you can accept the Jensen Huang risk.Source