What Moneyvest said in this video:
- Inflationnegative for stocksUS CPI and PPI both came in hotter than expected, with core PPI at 5% and headline wholesale inflation at 6.3%, far above the Fed's target, putting pressure on US stocks and interest rates.Source
- Fed Policynegative for stocksmid-termOnce the Fed starts hiking, it is not a one-off; it is usually a trend continuing for a few months as the start of a new cycle, and nobody knows where the restrictive rate will end up.Source
- Otherpositive for stocksWhen volatility rises it is time to buy; the VIX at the 63rd percentile is still normal, and only after it crosses above 25 to 30 does it reach rare territory with the best risk-reward.Source
- OtherneutralCXMT's progress in high-density DRAM triggered concerns, but its 4F square DDR5 announcement does not immediately threaten the US and South Korean firms' lead in high-bandwidth memory, given their technological and structural moat and CXMT's unproven scale stability.Source
- SOXXbullishlong-termThe semiconductor sector is in a bear market, trading down to support at 487-488, about 25% off highs; long-term demand is strong, driven by AI accelerators, logic chips and high-bandwidth memory, with revenues expected to grow from $800 billion to $1.5 trillion by 2026, so the sector has massive long-term growth.Source
- SMHbullishlong-termThe host is a long-term buyer of SMH, watching support at 528 down to 505; despite the bear market, semiconductors remain a long-term hold.Source
- SOXLbullishlong-termThe host is a long-term buyer of SOXL, a leveraged ETF, and cautions doing own research; trading around $93, with $71-72 as key support if it breaks down; semiconductors are a long-term hold.Source