What Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D. said in this video:
- NFLXbullishlong-termNetflix offers strong free cash flow and pricing power; his base case nearly triples money over ten years, so long-term losses look unlikely, though he is waiting for a cheaper entry.Source
- METAbullishlong-termMeta is hugely undervalued if it hits Ackman's 20% growth, implying a 16% yearly return for a decade, but $700 billion of AI commitments and negative cash flows make it an extremely risky bet.Source
- KWEBbullishlong-termChinese internet stocks are extremely cheap — companies 10x'd revenues over 14 years while stocks went nowhere — promising higher returns at higher risk; he owns Tencent via Prosus.Source
- PNRneutrallong-termAfter a 30% rally, Pentair's expected return drops from 10% to 8% while the business is unchanged, so the risk-reward is less attractive at the higher price.Source
- Otherneutrallong-termDomino's Group London is fairly priced after its rally: dividend yield down to 5%, expected return now 7-8%, with UK risk a possible source of cheapness.Source
- Otherpositive for stockslong-termAn unnamed dividend stock discussed a month ago offers roughly a 9% long-term return from current levels, which he calls a great return, with rate risk the main caveat.Source
- Otherneutrallong-termAdyen is fairly priced after falling from above 2000 to below 1000; mid-teens growth makes it cheap, but a European recession leaves downside, so it stays risky.Source
- VZneutralThe host has nothing new on Verizon — things look good but outcomes are unpredictable — so he removes it from the quadrant entirely.Source